The Importance of Luck and Fortune
The HobbitThroughout the adventure, Bilbo's luck and good fortune play a crucial role, but the story suggests that luck is earned through courage and wit.
increasing
Bearing strength in each event
decreasing
Beginnings of Luck

The Lucky Number
The Fourteenth Member
Bilbo is chosen as the fourteenth member of the company, a lucky number. Gandalf insists he is the right choice.
The Ring's Discovery
Bilbo finds the ring by chance. It is a stroke of luck that will save him many times.
The Escape
Many of Bilbo's escapes are lucky, but they also require his quick thinking. Luck is a theme, but it is not random.
The Thrush and the Weak Spot

The Stroke of Luck
The Thrush's Presence
A thrush overhears Bilbo's conversation with Smaug and learns of the weak spot. This bird later tells Bard.
The Timing
The thrush appears at the right moment. This is fortunate, but it builds on Bilbo's earlier observation.
The Role of Fate
The story implies that there is a larger plan at work. Luck is a tool, but the characters must act on it.
Gandalf's Reflection

The Meaning of Luck
Gandalf's Words
Gandalf tells Bilbo that his adventures were not managed by mere luck. He was meant to be there, and his choices mattered.
The Conclusion
Bilbo's luck is a combination of destiny and his own qualities. The story celebrates both fortune and personal growth.
The Lesson
Luck favors the brave and the wise. Bilbo's journey is a testament to that idea.
Early in the journey
During the encounter with Smaug
At the end of the story